Evidence Audit

LuceThemis

Quant Signal Evidence Audit Layer

Not a trading bot. Not a signal seller. A falsification engine that tests whether trading signals survive cost, leakage, overfit, walk-forward, and complexity pressure before capital goes in.

"The market needs a reliable evidence standard, not more backtests."
Powered by Calybris Engine

Audit Performance

Pilot-phase results from live signal audits.

0
Holdout Return
0
Win Rate (N=25)
0
Profit Factor
0
Candidates Audited
0
Unique Patterns
0
Primary Coverage

Three-Stage Audit

Structured falsification, not curve-fitting.

01
Ingest

Connect your signal stream or candidate outcomes table. No prompts, no user content, just structured decision envelopes.

02
Audit

MDL-inspired proxy: more complex signals require stronger evidence. Walk-forward validation, transaction cost deduction, leakage detection.

03
Report

Evidence-grade audit report. What passed, what failed, why. Not investment advice — evidence quality assessment.

Important Notice
LuceThemis does not produce investment advice. It produces evidence quality audits. No return guarantee. No signal selling.

MDL-Inspired Approach

Complexity & Evidence

Beyond Kolmogorov

Kolmogorov complexity and Solomonoff induction are not operational metrics. LuceThemis uses a practical MDL-inspired proxy: more complex signals must carry stronger evidence to pass the audit gate. This creates a natural Occam pressure — simple signals with consistent evidence pass; overfit complex patterns with thin evidence fail.

Rust Calybris Engine MDL-Inspired Proxy Walk-Forward Validation

Request a pilot audit

Submit your signal candidates for an evidence-grade audit. No trading advice. Just evidence.